Decision Options: The Art and Science of Making Decisions (Chapman & Hall/CRC Finance)

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That behavior is unambiguously irrational. A world, largely governed by people from the last generation, is suffering from discontinuities in policy heuristics. A recent conversation 1 attempts to portray that media multitasking is a bad. What the contemporary researchers don't seem to understand is that the world has indeed changed in a step function fashion and anybody on the lower tier is at a distinct disadvantage to see beyond the horizon.

Education systems that relied on rote memorization in Asia have already suffered a major set. From inception, humans have been prone to dreaming, with and without full control of their faculties.

Decision Options: The Art and Science of Making Decisions

Nightmares may have awakened them from short slumbers with distinct survival benefits in the African Savannah. Later, they dreamed of places beyond the horizon and kept walking to reach them. Over many generations, the journey took them to North Africa and into the Middle East. Later they will embark on separate one way trips to South Asia and China.

Their dreams kept them going as if the world.

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Black boxes, Artificial Intelligence and FinTech - likely a deadly combination that is going to destroy a lot of wealth. We have seen this before - fresh graduates from business schools coupled with mathematicians and physicists, descending on Wall Street to make the world go around in the opposite direction. As they appear on TV after hours - mad and fast - to confuse and pillage small money, ascertaining where every stock is going and even the market, there are 20 million fat fingers across th.

Recent transit of cigar shaped Oumuamua that raised hopes of galactic panspermia 1 is a double edged sword. Hitching rides on stable objects over millennia appears plausible for robust life but the implications of such transference could be catastrophic for the blue planet. It is not the green men and women we have to worry about but deadly single cell organisms from another galaxy. If the space agency ever stops taking shots at everything near in an effort to prove life exists elsewhere, the.

The value of breadth.

As the present regime shifts to one controlled by uncertainty and accelerating technology, the premium on breadth of knowledge compared to depth, continues to increase. Innovation appears to happen at the intersection of fields and not in secluded domains and that is an important issue that educational institutions need to consider as they design futuristic curriculums.

It is also highly problematic. As an example, business graduates tend to be broad and shallow and if the stated hy. Right brained Artificial Intelligence. Conventional AI appears to be largely driven by the left brain as engineers, data scientists, and technologists flock to the dream, ably assisted by capital, seeking returns somewhere.

Generally speaking, that is a prescription for disaster as technology, data and mathematics do no. The fragmentation of knowledge. Philosophers of yesteryear have argued that knowledge emanates from integration and not fragmentation. This is not surprising. For over half a million year.

The value of time. Some run without destinations, others stay put without ambitions, some rely on unprovable heuristics, others create theories without the need for proof, some ignore inconvenient data, others create convenient data, some travel, others remain absolutely still, some cry, others laugh but none of these maximize utility within such ha.

The game is rigged. Recent leaders have advocated cultural purity and ethnic cleansing and close to a quarter of the world population now believe in these ideas. Time to wake up and face technology. A recent article 1 that notes that advancing technology initiated productive scientific regimes, speculates that Artificial Intelligence could be the next engineering innovation that speeds up biological and chemical advancements. It makes sense but life sciences, an old and traditional industry, has been lagging in the application of technology.

As high energy physics, economics and even business, embrace rapidly advancing AI, life sciences and healthcare have been reluctant. Bush to eulogize him gives us the last glimpses of civility in politics. A country that stands on the shoulders of great men and women, who passed before us and laid the foundations for a great democracy that attracted the best from around the world, still remains to be the last hope for those who struggle.

It has been shown that good intentions are not sufficient to make good policy decisions. Humans have generally been incompetent in making optimum policy in the presence of uncertainty and interconnectivity. A recent article 1 gives a powerful example of this phenomenon. The blue planet has abundant water - but the species.

The end of "Machine Learning. Machines do not learn and apparently, those immersed in this concept do not either. Long way to go. For millennia, this was a dominant strategy as the ability to predict the presence and behavior of predators from historical data helped them survive. But now, this has become a huge liability. Even basic ideas in finance, such as sunk costs, have been difficult for many to internalize. Even those in the know, seem to mak. Popularity Popularity Featured Price: Low to High Price: High to Low Avg. Available for download now.

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Amazon Advertising Find, attract, and engage customers. Amazon Drive Cloud storage from Amazon. After a qualitative introduction to decision options, the author covers private and market risks, including how risks relate to decisions and the use of stochastic processes to represent risks. He then presents self-standing options, such as financial options and options pricing theory; describes how decision options are different from single-standing financial options; and deals with a special case of decision options in pricing employee stock options.

The next several chapters focus on various case studies of practical applications of decision options. The book also explores common misperceptions around the term real options and the impediments that currently exist in large companies for the systematic practice of decision options. Providing rigorous methods to use when making decisions, this book helps readers reduce the time and effort needed to reach decisions and build consensus, improve decision fidelity and communication, and enhance the value of their enterprise.

1st Edition

He developed Decision Options Technology, a software platform that allows modeling of complex decision problems and assets to improve decision making, risk management, and portfolio maximization. He also designed Decision Options Equity Research, an automated analysis and trading system for publicly traded securities. Eapen holds graduate degrees from the University of Chicago and Northwestern University and an undergraduate degree from the Indian Institute of Technology. We provide complimentary e-inspection copies of primary textbooks to instructors considering our books for course adoption.

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