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Boom Bust: House Prices, Banking and the Depression of 2010

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Wisdom from Rich Dad, Poor Dad: Never Split the Difference: Negotiating as if Your Life Depended on It by You may also like. Par koehler malik le jeudi, juin 29 , Basing his argument on a study of property markets over the last years, Harrison warns of the danger to banks, business and jobs of ignoring a remarkably regular year cycle. Recent events have proved the accuracy of his prediction. He accuses Gordon Brown of giving people a false sense of security by his oft repeated claim, last made in his Budget speech, that 'we will never return to the old boom and bust'.

Boom Bust: House Prices, Banking and the Depression of 2010 by Fred Harrison (Hardback, 1999)

Alan Greenspan in the US encouraged a similar belief which led to the risky sub-prime mortgage spree. The reason for the instability, Harrison explains, is not the housing market itself but the land market on which all buildings stand. Land is in fixed supply - as Mark Twain noted: Therefore, as the demand for land for new homes and offices rises with population growth and economic expansion, market forces, which normally increase supply to reduce prices, have the reverse effect: The UK housing market started collapsing in November , followed by the recession Harrison had forecast.

The 2nd edition retains the original forecast but includes a new preface and two additional chapters.


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He argues that granting the Bank of England independence cannot neutralise this cycle, as recent events have shown. Alan Greenspan in the US encouraged a similar belief which led to the risky sub-prime mortgage spree.


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  • This instability is not the result of market failure, as many argue, but a failure of governance. It is the conditions under which the markets operate that are at fault. The boom-bust can only be neutralised by a change in the tax system.