Dues of Mortality

Dues of Mortality by Jason Austin

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International Shipping at best shipping prices! Notify Me We will send an email as soon as we get it in stock. When his empire is threatened by government legislation as well as an anti-biotech terrorist cell, Wallace resorts to high-stakes blackmail and murder to protect it.

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Unfortunately, he gets far more than he bargained for, when he marks college student Glenda Jameson as one of his targets. Xavier Clyde Hawkins is a suicidal, alcoholic, army veteran whose last good nights' sleep was two hours on a rusty park bench. Under an insane set of circumstances, he is thrust between Glenda and both hired and cloned assassins sent by Wallace to hunt her down. But when the couple suddenly become wanted for the killing of three of Cleveland's finest, they must outrun, not only the assassins, but the cops, as well.

The Condor: Ornithological Applications

Glenda decides that their only choice is to track down the missing scientist who may have tried to warn her from the beginning. A task easier said than done as they are forced to travel from one end of the country to the other and the man they seek is an accomplished recluse.

Can the police, who want Glenda and Xavier, and the FBI who want the most elusive domestic terrorist in the country, find the link in their cases before it's too late? Click on the "Look Inside" link above the book cover to find out. Paperback , pages. To see what your friends thought of this book, please sign up.

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To ask other readers questions about Dues of Mortality , please sign up. Lists with This Book. This book is not yet featured on Listopia. Jun 21, Kathleen Molyneaux rated it liked it. A well plotted first novel. A near future action-thriller with an interesting look at biotechnology. Language gets a little 'colorful' and in some places this threw me out of the story. Also,characters weren't exactly the sort of people I want to hang with, still the plot is good enough to pull you along.

I think with a little polishing this could turn into gritty sci fi a la Stephenson. Mr N Hopkins rated it it was amazing Jul 14, Nous passons en revue l'approche de Loss et al. Estimates , window collisions , mortality. Replication, randomization, representativeness, and other underlying design principles are the hallmarks of well-designed, well-regarded, and well-received scientific studies.

However, some important ecological issues are not neatly packaged for examination with an appropriately designed mensurative or experimental approach.

Extrapolation is one technique that can be used with ad hoc data, but it comes with complexities that are absent from a purpose-built study. Such is the case for scaling up to a continental or national perspective for any widespread phenomenon, for example the estimate of bird mortality from window collisions by Loss et al. While the Loss et al. It is worth considering the imperfect science necessary to get a national estimate of bird mortality from window collisions, as doing so will reveal some surprising benefits of such work.

Making national-scale inferences by extrapolating small samples is not novel in ecology or other contexts. Public opinion polls in Canada http: Approval ratings of American presidents can be based on samples of 0. The key to sound inference is in understanding how to derive a representative sample.

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Outcomes show that individual polls are often wrong by important margins, yet analyses such as Nate Silver's that consider the range and underlying biases of polling results can be quite accurate http: In the case of Loss et al. In a previous paper, Loss et al. Blancher developed a Monte Carlo modeling approach that prioritized accuracy over precision to extrapolate to a national level bird mortality caused by cats, an approach that was adopted by Loss et al. This approach to a scientifically defensible extrapolation of bird mortality ensured that the results suitably accounted for sources and magnitudes of error or bias in the contributing data.

Therein lies one of the imperfections of the national estimate of bird mortality from window collisions: However, the first benefit of such an approach is that, on the basis of careful consideration of input data and model parameterization, it is reasonably probable that the true estimate lies within that range. It is clearly stated where scientists need to focus research and monitoring attention to improve the precision of the estimate. The Achilles heel of national bird-mortality estimates is that the underlying studies were never designed to be included in an extrapolation to a larger scale; this is an easy criticism to level as a reviewer.

Estimation bias was not completely eliminated by the approaches detailed in Loss et al. Accepting that these approaches have adequately dealt with bias as well as can be currently expected, the work provides another surprising benefit in the form of meticulous consideration of input data. In our opinion, Loss et al.

From their work, it is now apparent that improving mortality estimates in urban cores hinges on substantially improved data quality, requiring field-workers to structure their data collection and management processes as described by Loss et al.

Improved estimates of mortality would not only allow more targeted conservation efforts in urban cores, but would also lead to the adjustment of estimates of the cumulative impacts of avian mortality from collisions with windows and other structures. Extrapolation-based studies such as that of Loss et al. Enrico Fermi, the Nobel laureate physicist, was esteemed for his ability to solve seemingly impossible problems through the multiplication of a series of estimates Weinstein and Adams , Santos ; for instance, Fermi once asked and successfully answered the question of how many piano tuners there are in the city of Chicago Morrison Because the sources of information for addressing this sort of extrapolation-based question are often highly varied, differing among other things in their origination date and locality as well as their quality, these calculations are only approximations Starfield et al.

Nevertheless, Fermi approximations are often more accurate than expected because the multiplication of several estimated factors will include some factors that may be overestimated and other factors that are likely underestimated, canceling out potential error. The results therefore retain acceptable accuracy, especially in the context of managing large-scale environmental issues Jordan and Miller , as long as there is no consistent bias in the error of the constituent terms. Extrapolation-based approaches accomplish at least 3 laudable goals by being published through the peer-review process.

First, they remain contentious enough in their assumptions, input data, methodology, and conclusions that they are instant catalysts for improved science on any given issue. Second, the novel and sometimes downright startling conclusions e. Finally, computing gross estimates of mortality is a critical first step, but it quickly becomes apparent that the true parameter of interest is not the headline-grabbing total, but the species-by-species mortality estimate. Each of these benefits is discussed below, starting with a well-known example of an extrapolation approach.

As a science catalyst, publication of those population estimates has succeeded. Recommendations from Thogmartin et al. Most of this recent science has shown that the Rich et al. Publication of the population estimates has also catalyzed policy and management. These estimates have been well used for conservation planning and risk assessment, e.

We expect that the mortality estimates in Loss et al. The issues of covariate data quality, study design, detectability, replication, and representativeness of samples are enough to keep researchers busy for the next decade. Improving statistical models for dealing with input uncertainty and communicating outcomes will also improve the science Harwood Developing full life-cycle population models that can determine the consequences of bird—window collisions and other human-caused mortality will require investments from many scientists all across the Americas.

Similarly, we expect that publication of Loss et al. The previous paper by Loss et al. Prepublication drafts of Canadian estimates of bird mortality from a variety of causes surprised many colleagues and managers, both because of the individual results and due to the 6 orders of magnitude range of the estimates among sources.