Profiles in line-waiting

Your own planning profiles will have used local assumptions about how fast demand is growing. For consistency we have applied zero annual growth in demand across all services, which is broadly in line with the national planning assumptions. The seasonal profiles for these forecasts are based on the average of the last two years of actual clock start and clock stop data for each service.

Your local demand and capacity plans may have used different seasonal assumptions; for instance you may have assumed a different amount of elective slowdown in the final quarter. The filters in the Tableau Public charts allow you to select multiple services at the same time — indeed when you first visit the page everything is selected. This works well for the waiting list size, demand, and activity because they are counts of patients and they add up nicely.

The figure below shows four specialties in the same trust, and although each individual specialty behaves as expected, the aggregate does not. The other three specialties also behave this way, when you look at them individually: However when you aggregate them, something surprising happens.

The scenario with the longer average waiting time meet demand is not the scenario with the larger total waiting list achieve 18 weeks. All profiles are based on the published RTT data and the forecasts were generated using Gooroo Planner.

The raw data going into and coming out of the modelling is downloadable from Dropbox here and could be used to replicate this analysis. You must be logged in to post a comment. Profiles for a shorter-waiting service For the example above, I chose a service with quite severe waiting time pressures. It assumes zero growth Your own planning profiles will have used local assumptions about how fast demand is growing.

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The people in a line waiting to buy tickets to a show are standing one behind the other. Adam and Beth are among the people in the line, and Beth is standing behind Adam with a number of people between them.

If the number of people in front of Adam plus the number of people behind Beth is 18, how many people in the line are behind Beth? Most Helpful Expert Reply. Most Helpful Community Reply. If the number of people in from of Adam plus the number of people behind Beth is 18, how many people in the line are behind Beth? Let X,Y,Z be three variables such that X: No of people standing in front of Adam Y: No of people standing in between Adam and Beth Z: No of people standing behind Beth A: Originally posted by RaguramanS on Jun 26, 3: