Nows the Time
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Now’s the Time for NATO to Rally Around Turkey
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Be ready to optimize your finances. Shop around so you're prepared to take advantage of rising rates. Online savings accounts offer top yields. What therefore faces Turkey and the West is a geopolitical choice of extraordinary importance: We here in the United States should do all in our power to encourage Turkey to be part of the European and transatlantic communities.
Letting them drift away would be a profound geopolitical mistake for the West. Turkey has a population of nearly 80 million, positive demographic trends, a diversified and growing economy that is easily in the global top 20, excellent infrastructure and industrial capability, the second largest military in NATO, and a deep sense of national pride.
Despite a current economic slowdown, a huge Syrian refugee population approaching 2 million , significant political challenges presented by the Kurdish minority, and an active insurgency, the nation has maintained a democratic and secular tradition, albeit under some internal pressure to move in a more Islamic direction. But the Russian shoot-down is merely a symptom of what has been building in the region. But the events in the months before the shoot-down were increasingly confrontational: Now, that relationship will probably crater.
Turkey has turned to NATO for emergency consultations, which will occur this week. As the world assesses the fallout from the Russian shoot-down, there are several lessons that emerge at each level:.
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At the tactical level, this was an entirely predictable event which must be avoided going forward. There are too many militaries flying missions over Syria without any level of cooperation. The international community should use this as an object example to create a high-level expert group to untangle the dangerous battle space.
We desperately need tactical protocols for aircraft to use with each other to avoid another inadvertent incident.
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One level up, operationally, there is a need for a battle management system across the theater. These large and capable planes can provide a look-down radar picture and provide de-confliction assistance. They could do so operating out of Turkish airbases and over Turkish airspace.
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Strategically, the shoot down crystallizes the difficult choices ahead in Syria. It is time to focus on the common enemy, prioritizing the fight against the Islamic State by creating a functioning anti-IS strike coalition. But the grand strategic choice here involves Turkey and the West.
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Ankara must be persuaded to continue its pursuit of membership in the European Union and a track that aligns itself with the transatlantic community.